Japanese Encephalitis Dengue Fever

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  1. #11

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    what are the statistics or probability of dying everytime you step out of the house? or every day you are alive you have XX% chance of dying, with a ZZ% increase each day you get older.


  2. #12

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    Quote Originally Posted by PDLM:
    That may be because they changed its name to Hansen's Disease in the hope that people wouldn't notice
    Ah the old Windscale approach to a problem.

  3. #13

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    Quote Originally Posted by BenderBends:
    what are the statistics or probability of dying everytime you step out of the house? or every day you are alive you have XX% chance of dying, with a ZZ% increase each day you get older.
    Well if you take the average lifespan as being 70 years then it must be 1 in 365x70 overall. Probably higher when you are a child, then reducing then increasing again. The figures are probably available on Google. I think though if you add up the reported odds on dying from smoking, car accidents, heart attacks, etc etc we all die a few times.

  4. #14

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    Quote Originally Posted by hullexile:
    Well if you take the average lifespan as being 70 years then it must be 1 in 365x70 overall. Probably higher when you are a child, then reducing then increasing again. The figures are probably available on Google. I think though if you add up the reported odds on dying from smoking, car accidents, heart attacks, etc etc we all die a few times.
    but thats only based on avg life span. i mean life span + chance of disease + chance of accident...etc etc

    its probably like 50% chance every day...which is pretty cool when you think about it.

  5. #15

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    Quote Originally Posted by BenderBends:
    but thats only based on avg life span. i mean life span + chance of disease + chance of accident...etc etc

    its probably like 50% chance every day...which is pretty cool when you think about it.
    No the average life span includes the chance of dying from disease, accident, etc. so the figure I gave before would hold. If there was a 50% chance of dying every day then the human population would be gone very quickly.

  6. #16

    I've seen these notices in Kennedy Town lately, and having gotten a lot of mossie bites lately, I decided to do a geoexpat search about this. Why are there notices up if the risk is so ridiculously low? I'm not going to bother with a shot (I worked at a hospital last year and the the vaccine wasn't even available in Hong Kong), but I'm going to take a look to see who is responsible for posting these warning signs.


  7. #17

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    I've seen these notices too and have seen them for the past quarter of a century. I think some folks in the civil service need to justify their jobs once in a while. I also know the risk is so low* that you're more likely to be hit by the proverbial bus.


    * From the CHP website: "There are less than 10 cases reported in the past ten years."


  8. #18

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    heard story a while back when they were filming batman in HK, they wouldn't let batman or his double jump in to Victoria Harbor, because there's TB and other nasty stuff in the water when they lab test water sample.

    so yeah - don't fall into the harbor either


  9. #19

    As pointed out, JE and Dengue are exceedingly rare in Hong Kong, and the handful of cases in the past 10 yrs are mostly imported.

    The point behind the advert campaign is about vector control... hopefully reducing the chance that these diseases might be established locally.