Inflation or Deflation ahead?

[huja]

On the other side of COVID-19, do you foresee inflation or deflation? Several friends went with inflation without much thought. I think deflation is a real possibility. Thoughts?


https://foreignpolicy.com/2020/04/29...ion-is-coming/

[freeier]

What timeframe are you talking about ?

[huja]

What timeframe are you talking about ?

Let's say 12-18 months out.

[bdw]

When the inflation rate becomes -2% and mortgage interest rates are -1%, that's going to start confusing the shit out of people

[traineeinvestor]

On the other side of COVID-19, do you foresee inflation or deflation?

Yes.

[GentleGeorge]

Deflation

[freeier]

I flipped a coin and it landed on the edge.. 8-)

anyway my guess is deflationary.. even though the number of crispy green back being printed everyday now are some really crazily unrecognizable number

[huja]

Yes.

Expand that to "Yes. No. Maybe." and you'll be ready to run for public office.

[markranson]

Not specific to the question, but this podcast touches on it:

https://kunstler.com/podcast/kunstle...twominds-blog/

His twice-a-week blog also gives an American perspective that extends to the state of our world in general:

https://kunstler.com/clusterfuck-nat...-the-fat-lady/

[biffski]

Impossible to have inflation with almost no aggregate demand. Many people out of work and with businesses closing decreases demand for almost everything. Exception would be if shortages develop in any area, such as beef, pork, or other commodities, (water?)there may be inflation in those commodities. Outside of those food items/commodities it is not feasible at this time, even in HK. All bets off on crazy HK real estate.