If we are not going to reopen the border, what’s the point of quarantine. Conversely, if we are going to continue quarantine, how do we rule out CUT (although I am slightly more encouraged by the “no concrete plans” declaration).
For the past two years, the party leadership and government have spun the narrative that China has handled the pandemic much better than the decadent West. Now this narrative is blowing up in their faces.
…The authorities have spent a year bad-mouthing Western mRNA vaccines, with the result that people in China don’t trust the vaccination. That’s the problem: The political leadership can’t admit, so close to the Party Congress, that there is another way in dealing with Covid.Combine this with Carrie Lam's speech yesterday that the mainland border opening is still the aim and not an international opening, bar a miracle I don't think HK is opening up anytime soon.Until the 20th Party Congress, which will take place later this year, they will stick to the Zero Covid policy. President Xi wants to be confirmed for a third term, so he cannot change his narrative this close to the finish line. The president has maneuvered himself into two dead ends at once: He can’t change his Covid policy, and he can’t change anything about his friendship with Wladimir Putin.