China being China, the narrative will continue to be as the state directs. Does anybody hold any illusions that the few people in China who might think otherwise can do anything about it?
Which is incidentally the reason why engagement has failed, as those of us hoping for better for the Chinese can do nothing for them. In terms of realpolitik, if they weren’t threatening the world order they might have been left alone, but it really is naive to uncritically take on board the state viewpoints in an attempt to be “fair”.
Of course, the shanghai separations will leave no such long term impacts.
What are the demographics of Shanghai compared to HK, and the vaxx rate of their elderly? Surely the deaths will start to follow, and given the information that's leaking out now, we're going to hear about it.
On a side note, what do people think the chaos happening in Shanghai means for HK? If CUT is still on the cards, I think it becomes less likely now? On the basis that if even China can't manage to keep everyone fed during lockdown, plus the negative stories that are leaking out from China with its strong control of the internet - think how much worse both would be in HK.
And what's the friggin' point of this CUT anyway? Let's assume it's all working out as planned in theory: you get entire population tested in short time and all that test positive get isolated until they are negative again.
Then you have reduced your Covid incidence to nearly zero, but not to zero. And then you start the exponential growth again. And in 6 weeks time you are back where you were.
Buys you time. But otherwise it's a goddamn vicious circle!