Typhoon Season 2013

[Fiona in HKG]

Not doubting their forecasting skills and it's probably accurate of course but this report is several hours old..., just so you know...

It wouldn't really take much more than jog for a T8...

Gusts exceeding 80kph @ Cheung Chau...

Indeed but they have proven to be pretty good with the TAU forecasting.

We've had monsoons recently with 70kph gusts and will need sustained wind speed of 63-117kph for T8.

INXS, we should start a 'book' on what's going to happen Like you I'm a weather watcher. Comes from being the offspring of a salty old sea captain

Might be a bit of a rough ferry ride home tonight and out again in the morning.

[INXS]

Interesting now as 93W is being absorbed into JEBI's rather large circulation...we look on...

[Watercooler]

Is it just me or is there (alot) fewer full-blown typhoons this year (so far). Judging by past records, by this time of the year, there already would have been several typhoons popping up in the Western Pacific. Yet so far, we've only got one official typhoon (Soulik), while the rest were tropical storms below typhoon-strength.

Granted, this month (and September) is usually the peak of the typhoon season, so we may yet see some real typhoons occurring within the next two months, but so far no sign of that (yet). Wonder why that is the case? Does that have to do with the high pressure sitting over China (causing record temp. there) and the Western Pacific? Or something else? (Of course, I'm glad there isn't any typhoons impacting HK so far, but I want to know why.)

[HowardCoombs]

We have a fresh one brewing out in the Pacific. It doesnt have a proper name just yet so its known as TD11 : http://www.wunderground.com/tropical...1311_5day.html

Based on current guesses, it looks like it will be a close one but its too far so anything could happen with it...

[INXS]

We have a fresh one brewing out in the Pacific. It doesnt have a proper name just yet so its known as TD11 : http://www.wunderground.com/tropical...1311_5day.html

Based on current guesses, it looks like it will be a close one but its too far so anything could happen with it...

Well, we have 96W (Utor) to deal with first...

[richteralan]

Well, we have 96W (Utor) to deal with first...

96W developed into TD11 I believe.

[INXS]

96W developed into TD11 I believe.

My mistake. I mean 97W....that said....TD11 is the more interesting of course...

[INXS]

My mistake. I mean 97W....that said....TD11 is the more interesting of course...

Many saying these two systems will combine....12 years and UTOR might be back!

[imparanoic]

indications suggest this is a bigger one than recent ones

[Watercooler]

Don't get too excited yet (otherwise you will be setting up yourself for disappointment again, of course, I'm only referring to those fellas who do wanted to see a high T signal in HK. Surely no one here would admit to wanting a T8, T9 or T10 now right? hehehe).

Let's wait and see how these two systems develop first.