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  • 1 Post By Trebor

El Nino coming...

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  1. #1

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    Jun 2011
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    El Nino coming...

    According to a SCMP report, there is now 90 per cent of El Nino arriving "this year, according to fresh weather forecasts." which translates into HK getting later arrival of typhoons and more rain in winter and spring (what it didn't mention is that it may also mean less rain in summer-according to one of my friend at the weather forum). The report claims that this El Nino would rival the 97-98 El Nino (which was the strongest in recorded history).

    Of course, they cover their asses by saying “ what is very much unknowable at this stage is whether this year’s El Nino will be a small event, a moderate event - that’s most likely - or a really major event,” adding the picture will become clearer in the next month or two. “It is which way the winds blow that determines what happens next and there is always a random element to the winds.”

    http://www.scmp.com/news/hong-kong/a...as-90pc-chance

    So what so you think? If this El Nino, if it does occur, will it have a major, moderate or minor impact? And will typhoons arrive really later in the year (or not at all)?

    Last edited by Watercooler; 12-06-2014 at 10:16 PM.

  2. #2

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    I expect more rain in asia? Gonna be a crap xmas break in Thailand if it rains everyday.


  3. #3

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    So what so you think? If this El Nino, if it does occur, will it have a major, moderate or minor impact? And will typhoons arrive really later in the year (or not at all)?
    Well, as a person with no formal training in weather forcasticating, I feel that I am fully qualified to weigh in here.

    It will have a moderate impact with multiple typhoons arriving late in the year with the biggest typhoon arriving on October 5th 2014.

    By the way, who is El Nino?

  4. #4

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    Quote Originally Posted by HKHK154:
    Well, as a person with no formal training in weather forcasticating, I feel that I am fully qualified to weigh in here.

    It will have a moderate impact with multiple typhoons arriving late in the year with the biggest typhoon arriving on October 5th 2014.

    By the way, who is El Nino?
    Your mamma...

  5. #5

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    Quote Originally Posted by HKHK154:
    Well, as a person with no formal training in weather forcasticating, I feel that I am fully qualified to weigh in here.

    It will have a moderate impact with multiple typhoons arriving late in the year with the biggest typhoon arriving on October 5th 2014.

    By the way, who is El Nino?
    Fernando Torres
    Watercooler likes this.