All my spam mail stuck in my filter says it's going to be Paris Hilton.
gilleshk--that's why I try to find a candidate blind quiz on the issues. You pick the policy you most agree with and in the end it tells you which candidate you picked the most. If you know which candidate said it, you end up being biased. Granted some you will know, but not all of them.
KIA--problem with the polls and the polls of polls is that the guy isn't picked by popular vote. Doesn't matter if you win all the votes in a majority of states if you manage to also lose CA, TX, PA, OH, FL or some similar combination.
jonnye--fringe or floating voters only matter in states that are close. Being a fringe voter who decides to go Dem in Texas or GOP in CA is meaningless. As is being a diehard Dem in GA or a GOP in MA.