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Marcos the next President of the Philippines?

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  1. #11

    Join Date
    May 2006
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    Latest survey, this time from Pulse Asia

    Presidential

    Marcos 53%
    Robredo 20%
    Moreno 8%
    Pacquiao 8%
    Lacson 6%

    Not forgetting the Communist Party candidate with 0.004%. They need to move to Hong Kong.

    Marcos is ahead in all regions and all socioeconomic groups. His largest lead is in the ABC middle class higher educated group.

    Vice Presidential

    Duterte 45%
    Sotto 31% (out of line with other surveys)
    Pangilinan 12%
    Ong 6%

    Senate (12 places available)

    Zero.Liberal Party
    One or two Liberal Party allies
    8 Marcos or Duterte allies

    4 and a half months to go


  2. #12

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    Latest survey, by OCTA Research. New to the political survey game but very respected in terms of their surveys and other work on covid. (Linked to the University of the Philippines which is very much opposition biased but OCTA is independent)..


    President:

    The lead for Marcos has increased mainly because the opposition vote is more evenly split in this survey. Robredo is at 14% not 20%. All the surveys are coming up with a similar picture though. To have one candidate over 50% is extremely rare.

    Marcos 54%
    Robredo 14%
    Moreno 12%
    Pacquiao 10%
    Lacson 6%

    VP:

    Very similar to the last survey I quoted. This confirms the position of Sotto as the challenger to Duterte. Sotto is the Senate President and so.part of the Duterte majority at least in title. Not part of either bloc so best described as Independent. Pangilinan is the Liberal Party candidate (he is Chair of the Party) but running as an independent.

    Duterte 50%
    Sotto 33%
    Pangilinan 9%
    Ong 4%


  3. #13

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    Quote Originally Posted by hullexile:
    Latest survey, by OCTA Research. New to the political survey game but very respected in terms of their surveys and other work on covid. (Linked to the University of the Philippines which is very much opposition biased but OCTA is independent)..


    President:

    The lead for Marcos has increased mainly because the opposition vote is more evenly split in this survey. Robredo is at 14% not 20%. All the surveys are coming up with a similar picture though. To have one candidate over 50% is extremely rare.

    Marcos 54%
    Robredo 14%
    Moreno 12%
    Pacquiao 10%
    Lacson 6%

    VP:

    Very similar to the last survey I quoted. This confirms the position of Sotto as the challenger to Duterte. Sotto is the Senate President and so.part of the Duterte majority at least in title. Not part of either bloc so best described as Independent. Pangilinan is the Liberal Party candidate (he is Chair of the Party) but running as an independent.

    Duterte 50%
    Sotto 33%
    Pangilinan 9%
    Ong 4%
    So Duterte will be running Marcos and Marcos will be running the country?

  4. #14

    Join Date
    May 2006
    Location
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    Quote Originally Posted by East_coast:
    So Duterte will be running Marcos and Marcos will be running the country?
    On what basis do you say that? You do know Duterte Sr is campaigning AGAINST Marcos? I guess you don't.

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