“We had assigned a small probability to Beijing exiting ZCS at end-March after the Winter Olympics and its National People Congress (NPC) conference – now, we think the likelihood is almost nil.
“Instead, we see a rising probability of Beijing sticking to its ZCS until March 2023, after the upcoming leadership changes are fully completed.”
ZCS = Zero Covid Strategy
With the Northern Territory moving from high to extreme risk (>500 cases per day over last 7 day average), Australia is now a much simpler picture. Either you are COVID free in the West, or you are fucked everywhere else.
By the way, the west is now like Hong Kong (closed borders). But is still scheduled to open up to the world on Feb 5th (with probably 50/50 opinion split on whether we should open up or not).
Reporting in. Through that virus which I am assuming was covid, omicron variant. I will classify it as highly uncomfortable.